SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 60.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
60.72% ( 0.03) | 20.4% ( -0.02) | 18.87% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.05) | 37.73% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.06) | 59.97% ( -0.06) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.94% ( 0.02) | 12.05% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.45% ( 0.05) | 37.55% ( -0.06) |
| Helmond Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( 0.02) | 33.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( 0.02) | 70.03% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | Helmond Sport |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0)Other @ 4.1% Total : 60.72% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.4% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 18.87% |
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