SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
53.16% ( -0.07) | 25.35% ( 0.02) | 21.5% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.92% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.8% ( -0.02) | 55.2% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.57% ( -0.02) | 76.43% ( 0.02) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.03) | 20.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( -0.05) | 53.43% ( 0.05) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.23% ( 0.04) | 40.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.65% ( 0.03) | 77.35% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% 2-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.33% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 1.25% Total : 21.5% |
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