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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.56%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 1-0 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Defensor Sporting in this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
24.36% ( 0.06) | 26.12% ( 0.01) | 49.52% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.47% ( -0) | 55.53% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.29% ( -0) | 76.71% ( -0) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( 0.05) | 38.19% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( 0.05) | 74.95% ( -0.05) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( -0.03) | 22.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.05) | 56.02% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 24.36% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.58% 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0)Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 49.52% |
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