Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Fenix had a probability of 20.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.34%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Fenix win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensor Sporting would win this match.
Result | ||
Fenix | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
20.19% (![]() | 27.3% (![]() | 52.51% (![]() |
Both teams to score 40.33% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.05% (![]() | 62.94% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.57% (![]() | 82.42% (![]() |
Fenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.3% (![]() | 46.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.74% (![]() | 82.25% (![]() |
Defensor Sporting Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.66% (![]() | 24.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.28% (![]() | 58.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Fenix | Draw | Defensor Sporting |
1-0 @ 8.65% (![]() 2-1 @ 4.66% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.3% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.4% Total : 20.19% | 1-1 @ 12.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.36% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() Other @ 0.42% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 16.05% (![]() 0-2 @ 11.34% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.64% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.44% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 52.49% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: