SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (7.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | River Plate |
52.1% ( 0) | 25.66% ( 0) | 22.24% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.38% ( -0.02) | 55.62% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.22% ( -0.02) | 76.78% ( 0.02) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.61% ( -0.01) | 21.39% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.62% ( -0.01) | 54.38% ( 0.01) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.74% ( -0.02) | 40.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.11% ( -0.02) | 76.88% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 12.08% 0-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.5% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.31% Total : 22.24% |
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