Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.06%) and 0-2 (5.73%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.
Result | ||
Den Bosch | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
35.73% ( 0.09) | 23.65% ( 0.01) | 40.62% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 62.6% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.68% ( -0.02) | 39.32% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.34% ( -0.03) | 61.66% ( 0.03) |
Den Bosch Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.95% ( 0.04) | 22.05% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.61% ( 0.06) | 55.39% ( -0.05) |
SBV Excelsior Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.31% ( -0.05) | 19.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.32% ( -0.09) | 51.68% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Den Bosch | Draw | SBV Excelsior |
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.73% | 1-1 @ 10.66% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.65% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 40.62% |
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