Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SBV Excelsior win with a probability of 55.04%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 23.2% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.12%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SBV Excelsior would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Den Bosch
55.04%	21.76%	23.2%

Both teams to score 60.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.83%

38.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.56%

60.45%

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.14%

13.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.74%

41.26%

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35%

29.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3%

65.7%

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 55.04%

Den Bosch 23.2%

Draw 21.76%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Den Bosch
2-1 @ 9.76% 1-0 @ 8.12% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 6.43% 3-0 @ 5.29% 3-2 @ 3.91% 4-1 @ 3.17% 4-0 @ 2.61% 4-2 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.51% Total : 55.04%	1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 6% 0-1 @ 5% 0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 2.43% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.2%