SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.78%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 1-2 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 1-0 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio |
27.12% ( 2.02) | 29.09% ( 0.84) | 43.78% ( -2.86) |
| Both teams to score 42.21% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.08% ( -1.61) | 63.92% ( 1.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.88% ( -1.16) | 83.12% ( 1.17) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.55% ( 0.88) | 40.45% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.94% ( 0.78) | 77.06% ( -0.78) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -2.27) | 29.12% ( 2.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( -2.89) | 65.04% ( 2.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.86) 2-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.49)3-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.18)3-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.33% Total : 27.12% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.68)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.08% | 0-1 @ 14.53% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.63)1-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.36)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.52)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.38)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.19)Other @ 1.47% Total : 43.78% |
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