SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 71.32%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 10.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.14%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.67%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
71.32% ( -0.97) | 18.4% ( 0.43) | 10.27% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( 0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( -0.32) | 47.38% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( -0.3) | 69.6% ( 0.3) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.03% ( -0.36) | 11.97% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.61% ( -0.76) | 37.39% ( 0.76) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.28% ( 0.88) | 51.72% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.18% ( 0.57) | 85.82% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nacional | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.21) 1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.29)2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 6.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.45% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 71.31% | 1-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.51% Total : 18.4% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.99% Total : 10.27% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
