SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Fenix win was 1-0 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
33.29% ( 0.38) | 28.14% ( 0.31) | 38.57% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( -0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.03% ( -1.04) | 58.97% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% ( -0.82) | 79.44% ( 0.82) |
| Fenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.99% ( -0.28) | 33.01% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.4% ( -0.31) | 69.6% ( 0.31) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.35% ( -0.91) | 29.65% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.31% ( -1.12) | 65.69% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenix | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.34) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.28% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.45% Total : 38.57% |
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