SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 46.6%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for a Deportivo Maldonado win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
46.6% ( -0.04) | 28.33% ( 0.02) | 25.07% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.7% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.43% ( -0.05) | 62.57% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.84% ( -0.04) | 82.16% ( 0.04) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( -0.05) | 26.99% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.66% ( -0.06) | 62.34% ( 0.06) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.48% ( -0.01) | 41.52% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.99% ( -0.01) | 78.01% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Deportivo Maldonado |
| 1-0 @ 14.67% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 46.6% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.32% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.67% 0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.2% Total : 25.07% |
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