SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional |
18.97% ( -0.86) | 26.76% ( -0.2) | 54.28% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 40.03% ( -0.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.21) | 62.43% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( -0.16) | 82.05% ( 0.16) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.2% ( -1.13) | 47.8% ( 1.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.92% ( -0.84) | 83.08% ( 0.85) |
| Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.68% ( 0.38) | 23.32% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.73% ( 0.54) | 57.27% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Danubio | Draw | Nacional |
| 1-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 18.97% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 16.22% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 11.81% ( 0.35)1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.36% Total : 54.27% |
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