SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio |
34.19% ( -0.07) | 29.84% ( 0.04) | 35.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.54% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.38% ( -0.13) | 64.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.38% ( -0.09) | 83.62% ( 0.09) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.62% ( -0.12) | 35.38% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.86% ( -0.12) | 72.14% ( 0.12) |
| Danubio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.05) | 34.17% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.13% ( -0.06) | 70.87% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio |
| 1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 34.19% | 1-1 @ 13.48% 0-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.83% | 0-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.34% Total : 35.97% |
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