Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 61.33%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 1-0 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.