SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
21.47% ( -0.12) | 25% ( -0.03) | 53.53% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 47.87% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.08% ( -0.02) | 53.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.63% ( -0.02) | 75.38% ( 0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.93% ( -0.13) | 40.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.29% ( -0.12) | 76.72% ( 0.12) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.05) | 20.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.61% ( 0.08) | 52.39% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.37% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.47% | 1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 12.92% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.36% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.67% Total : 53.52% |
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