SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
40.51% ( -0.05) | 27.65% ( -0.01) | 31.85% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 48.22% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.56% ( 0.05) | 57.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.76% ( 0.04) | 78.24% ( -0.04) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0) | 27.8% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( -0) | 63.39% ( 0) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.78% ( 0.07) | 33.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.17% ( 0.08) | 69.83% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.14% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 1.86% Total : 40.5% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.17% 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.84% |
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