SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 41.61%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 29.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (7.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Waterford United |
41.61% ( 0.12) | 29.36% ( -0) | 29.03% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.96% ( -0.03) | 64.05% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.79% ( -0.02) | 83.22% ( 0.02) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.6% ( 0.06) | 30.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.4% ( 0.07) | 66.6% ( -0.06) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.07% ( -0.11) | 38.93% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.34% ( -0.1) | 75.66% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 14.09% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.33% Total : 41.6% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.35% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.53% Total : 29.03% |
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