SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 68.23%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 13.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Loughgall |
68.23% ( -0.05) | 17.99% ( 0.02) | 13.78% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.4% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.05) | 36.28% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.05) | 58.41% ( 0.05) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.29% ( -0.02) | 9.71% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.65% ( -0.06) | 32.35% ( 0.05) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0) | 38.65% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.61% ( 0) | 75.39% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-0 @ 10.2% 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 4.22% Total : 68.23% | 1-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 17.99% | 1-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 13.78% |
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