SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 51.61%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
51.61% ( 2.39) | 23.46% ( -0.36) | 24.94% ( -2.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.81% ( -0.09) | 44.19% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.43% ( -0.09) | 66.57% ( 0.09) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( 0.87) | 17.16% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( 1.52) | 47.4% ( -1.51) |
| Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% ( -1.64) | 31.51% ( 1.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.1% ( -1.93) | 67.9% ( 1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Lokomotiv Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.3)2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.25)3-0 @ 4.94% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.18)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.24)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.92% Total : 51.61% | 1-1 @ 11% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.45% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.38) 0-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.2)Other @ 2.74% Total : 24.94% |
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