SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
59.05% ( -0.03) | 22.19% ( 0.04) | 18.75% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.97% ( -0.2) | 46.02% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.67% ( -0.19) | 68.33% ( 0.19) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% ( -0.08) | 15.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.11% ( -0.15) | 43.89% ( 0.15) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.13) | 38.41% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.13) | 75.16% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Moscow | Draw | Rostov |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 59.04% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 18.75% |
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