SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Dynamo Moscow had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.74%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Rostov in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
42.62% ( 0.71) | 23.94% ( -0.17) | 33.43% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.73% ( 0.65) | 41.27% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.65) | 63.66% ( -0.65) |
| Rostov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( 0.59) | 19.61% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.44% ( 0.95) | 51.56% ( -0.94) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.79% ( -0) | 24.21% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.45% ( -0.01) | 58.55% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rostov | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.85% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.17% Total : 42.62% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 7.78% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 33.43% |
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