Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rostov had a probability of 20.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.37%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Rostov win it was 0-1 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
