SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| East Fife | Draw | Peterhead |
39.38% ( 0.06) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 34.99% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.05) | 48.66% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( 0.04) | 70.77% ( -0.04) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.06) | 24.35% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.24% ( 0.08) | 58.75% ( -0.08) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.19% ( -0.01) | 26.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.9% ( -0.01) | 62.1% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| East Fife | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.38% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.66% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 34.99% |
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