SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Ekenas IF had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest Ekenas IF win was 1-0 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ekenas IF | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
28.64% ( 0.96) | 24.55% ( -0.04) | 46.8% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 56.33% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( 0.77) | 46.21% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( 0.72) | 68.51% ( -0.72) |
| Ekenas IF Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( 1.1) | 29.73% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.2% ( 1.32) | 65.79% ( -1.32) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.83% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.08% ( -0.13) | 51.92% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ekenas IF | Draw | IFK Mariehamn |
| 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.02% ( 0.18)2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.25% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.8% |
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