Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 47.28%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 24.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.
-0.83) 
0.31) 
