SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Elfsborg had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.52%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Elfsborg win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Malmo |
25.42% ( -0.53) | 22.78% ( -0.33) | 51.8% ( 0.86) |
| Both teams to score 59.58% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.33% ( 1.05) | 40.66% ( -1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.95% ( 1.07) | 63.05% ( -1.07) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.76% ( 0.15) | 29.24% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.8% ( 0.18) | 65.19% ( -0.18) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( 0.69) | 15.8% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.04% ( 1.25) | 44.95% ( -1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.42% | 1-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 4.84% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.63% Total : 51.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
