Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Elgin City | Draw | East Fife |
31.98% ( -0.39) | 25.94% ( -0.05) | 42.08% ( 0.44) |
Both teams to score 53.52% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.32% ( 0.1) | 50.68% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( 0.09) | 72.59% ( -0.09) |
Elgin City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.31% ( -0.21) | 29.69% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.26% ( -0.25) | 65.74% ( 0.25) |
East Fife Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 0.27) | 23.88% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 0.38) | 58.08% ( -0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Elgin City | Draw | East Fife |
1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.98% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.36% 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.83% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.91% Total : 42.07% |
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