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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 37.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.07%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Peterhead |
37.02% ( 0.7) | 25.46% ( -0.01) | 37.52% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 0.07) | 47.78% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 0.07) | 69.97% ( -0.07) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( 0.42) | 25.23% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( 0.58) | 59.97% ( -0.58) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( -0.34) | 24.96% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.4% ( -0.47) | 59.6% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.8% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.02% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.87% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.52% |
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