Although Napoli look like a well-oiled winning machine under Antonio Conte, they will have to scrap for all three points in Empoli.
The hosts have started the campaign solidly and have the second-best defensive record so far, meaning their visitors may need to rely on one moment of magic from a talented cast of attackers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match.
-0.23) 
0.3) 
