SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 70.69%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.65%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.19%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
11.91% ( -0.14) | 17.39% ( -0.22) | 70.69% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.77% ( 0.65) | 38.23% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.49% ( 0.69) | 60.51% ( -0.69) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( 0.2) | 42.8% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( 0.16) | 79.12% ( -0.16) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.36% ( 0.26) | 9.63% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.82% ( 0.6) | 32.18% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.91% | 1-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.02% Total : 17.39% | 0-2 @ 11.28% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.19)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 8.8% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 7.47% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 5.15% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.37% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 2.41% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.05% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.05)0-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.69% |
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