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Serie A | Gameweek 38
May 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
RL

Empoli
2 - 1
Roma

Cancellieri (13'), Niang (90+3')
Gyasi (2'), Destro (34'), Marin (81'), Niang (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aouar (45+1')
Costa (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawRoma
33.32% (-0.315 -0.31) 26.69% (0.075000000000003 0.08) 39.98% (0.238 0.24)
Both teams to score 51.52% (-0.315 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.57% (-0.366 -0.37)53.43% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.04% (-0.311 -0.31)74.96% (0.31 0.31)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)30.17% (0.386 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.67% (-0.465 -0.46)66.32% (0.464 0.46)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.79% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)26.21% (0.038999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.69% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)61.3% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 33.32%
    Roma 39.98%
    Draw 26.68%
EmpoliDrawRoma
1-0 @ 9.48% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.6% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.03% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.68% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.112 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.68%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 8.5% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.086 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 3.17% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.06% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.98%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, May 19 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, May 12 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-0 Empoli
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Napoli
Saturday, April 20 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Empoli
Saturday, April 13 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, May 19 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 2-1 Roma
Sunday, May 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-2 Roma
Thursday, May 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Roma 1-1 Juventus
Sunday, May 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, May 2 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Napoli 2-2 Roma
Sunday, April 28 at 5pm in Serie A


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