Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.91%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
20.74% ( -0.3) | 25.91% ( -0.16) | 53.35% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 44.45% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.06% ( 0.26) | 57.94% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.36% ( 0.2) | 78.64% ( -0.2) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.85% ( -0.18) | 43.15% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.59% ( -0.15) | 79.41% ( 0.15) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.18% ( 0.3) | 21.82% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.96% ( 0.46) | 55.04% ( -0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.74% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.41% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 25.9% | 0-1 @ 14.33% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.54% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 2.11% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.92% Total : 53.35% |
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