SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 47.02%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Defensa y Justicia had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Defensa y Justicia win it was 0-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Estudiantes in this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
47.02% ( 0.03) | 27.92% ( -0.15) | 25.06% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 43.71% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.72% ( 0.57) | 61.28% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.79% ( 0.42) | 81.21% ( -0.42) |
| Estudiantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0.28) | 26.18% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.73% ( 0.37) | 61.27% ( -0.37) |
| Defensa y Justicia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.21% ( 0.44) | 40.79% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.63% ( 0.39) | 77.37% ( -0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estudiantes | Draw | Defensa y Justicia |
| 1-0 @ 14.31% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.84% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.95% Total : 47.02% | 1-1 @ 12.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.56% Total : 27.91% | 0-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.27% Total : 25.06% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
