SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 57.12%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 18.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.19%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-0 (6.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
18.87% ( -0.14) | 24.01% ( -0.08) | 57.12% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.78% ( 0.13) | 53.21% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.22% ( 0.11) | 74.78% ( -0.11) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.52% ( -0.08) | 42.48% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.15% ( -0.07) | 78.85% ( 0.07) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.53% ( 0.13) | 18.46% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.34% ( 0.22) | 49.65% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 1-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 18.87% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 11.19% ( 0.04)1-2 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.28% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 57.11% |
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