SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 34.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
34.47% ( -0.22) | 26.61% ( 0.19) | 38.91% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 52.01% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.09% ( -0.8) | 52.91% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.48% ( -0.68) | 74.52% ( 0.68) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.82% ( -0.53) | 29.18% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( -0.65) | 65.12% ( 0.65) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.44% ( -0.35) | 26.56% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.23% ( -0.47) | 61.77% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Krylia Sovetov |
| 1-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.47% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.91% |
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