SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 61.65%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Khimki |
61.65% ( -0.12) | 21.73% ( 0.05) | 16.62% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.51% ( -0.08) | 47.49% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.3% ( -0.07) | 69.7% ( 0.07) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.12% ( -0.06) | 14.88% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.77% ( -0.12) | 43.23% ( 0.12) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.19% ( 0.05) | 41.81% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.73% ( 0.04) | 78.27% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Khimki |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.85% 3-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 61.65% | 1-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.88% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.76% Total : 16.62% |
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