SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Orenburg |
38.98% ( -0.21) | 27.2% ( 0.06) | 33.82% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.04% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.64% ( -0.21) | 55.36% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.43% ( -0.17) | 76.57% ( 0.17) |
| Fakel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0.22) | 27.67% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -0.28) | 63.22% ( 0.28) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.01) | 30.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( -0.01) | 67.09% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fakel | Draw | Orenburg |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.04% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.81% |
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