SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Falkirk had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Falkirk win was 1-0 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for The New Saints in this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | The New Saints |
26.35% ( 0.28) | 25.54% ( -0.73) | 48.1% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 51.41% ( 2.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 3.03) | 51.85% ( -3.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 2.56) | 73.61% ( -2.56) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.54% ( 1.87) | 34.45% ( -1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.83% ( 1.95) | 71.16% ( -1.95) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( 1.47) | 21.57% ( -1.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( 2.21) | 54.65% ( -2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.17)2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.36% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 7.43% ( -0.94)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.34)3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.89) 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.28)1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.3)0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.28)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.19)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.36% Total : 48.09% |
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