SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 84.72%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 5.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 4-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.64%), while for a Cardiff MU win it was 1-2 (1.66%). The actual scoreline of 8-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
84.72% ( -0.13) | 10.09% ( 0.06) | 5.19% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 49.02% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.06) | 25.41% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 54.54% ( -0.08) | 45.46% ( 0.08) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.83% ( -0.03) | 4.17% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.57% ( -0.1) | 17.42% ( 0.09) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.15% ( 0.15) | 48.84% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.16% ( 0.11) | 83.84% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Cardiff MU |
| 3-0 @ 10.88% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.28% 4-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03)1-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.2% ( -0)5-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 3.94% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.8% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.41% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)7-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.94% Total : 84.71% | 1-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 10.09% | 1-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 5.19% |
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