SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 71.6%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Pen-y-Bont had a probability of 12.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 3-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a Pen-y-Bont win it was 1-2 (3.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
71.6% ( -0.22) | 15.72% ( 0.07) | 12.68% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.3% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.48% ( 0.04) | 27.52% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.86% ( 0.05) | 48.14% ( -0.05) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.21% ( -0.03) | 6.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.94% ( -0.08) | 25.06% ( 0.08) |
| Pen-y-Bont Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 0.25) | 34.24% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( 0.26) | 70.93% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Pen-y-Bont |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.57% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.77% Total : 71.6% | 1-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 12.68% |
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