SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 74.65%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 9.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.93%) and 0-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.5%), while for a Haverfordwest County win it was 1-0 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
9.53% ( 0.14) | 15.82% ( -0.15) | 74.65% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.53% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.21% ( 1.23) | 37.79% ( -1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.97% ( 1.31) | 60.04% ( -1.3) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.1% ( 1.13) | 46.91% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.59% ( 0.84) | 82.42% ( -0.83) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.4% ( 0.31) | 8.61% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.29% ( 0.75) | 29.72% ( -0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | The New Saints |
| 1-0 @ 3.06% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.53% | 1-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.81% Total : 15.82% | 0-2 @ 12.14% ( -0.36) 0-3 @ 9.93% ( -0.15)0-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.44)1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.52% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 6.09% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 4.61% ( 0.14)0-5 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.13)1-5 @ 2.26% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.11)0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 0.92% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.3% Total : 74.65% |
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