SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 30.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
30.15% ( 0.35) | 23.67% ( -0.05) | 46.18% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 60.35% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.43) | 41.36% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.43) | 63.75% ( -0.43) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.74% ( 0.44) | 26.26% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.63% ( 0.59) | 61.37% ( -0.59) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( 0.05) | 18.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.86% ( 0.08) | 49.14% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.32% Total : 30.15% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.18% |
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