SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 18.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Famalicao win it was 1-0 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
18.93% ( 0.76) | 22.65% ( -0.04) | 58.43% ( -0.72) |
| Both teams to score 51.04% ( 1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.27% ( 1.26) | 47.74% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.08% ( 1.16) | 69.93% ( -1.15) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.78% ( 1.6) | 39.22% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.07% ( 1.47) | 75.93% ( -1.47) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( 0.19) | 16.03% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.64% ( 0.35) | 45.37% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.93% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.34)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.22)Other @ 0.98% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.54) 0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.42)1-2 @ 9.86% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 6.43% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 2.94% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 2.76% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.08)0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 58.41% |
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