SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
28.16% ( -0.42) | 24.7% ( 0.13) | 47.15% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.49% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.83% ( -0.8) | 47.17% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.6% ( -0.75) | 69.4% ( 0.75) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.42% ( -0.72) | 30.58% ( 0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.19% ( -0.86) | 66.81% ( 0.86) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.93% ( -0.2) | 20.07% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.7% ( -0.31) | 52.3% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.16% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.86% Total : 47.15% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
