SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.76% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.38) | 53.95% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -0.32) | 75.4% ( 0.31) |
| FC Cincinnati Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( 0.08) | 19.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.13) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.78) | 41.92% ( 0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.63% ( -0.69) | 78.37% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.74% |
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