Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Eindhoven win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Eindhoven win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Eindhoven | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
38.11% ( -0.61) | 25.85% ( 0.16) | 36.04% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( -0.66) | 49.53% ( 0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( -0.6) | 71.56% ( 0.6) |
FC Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% ( -0.64) | 25.44% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% ( -0.88) | 60.26% ( 0.88) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.05) | 26.6% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% ( -0.06) | 61.82% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
FC Eindhoven | Draw | MVV Maastricht |
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.11% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.04% |
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