SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 13.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
64.83% ( 0.2) | 21.65% ( 0) | 13.52% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 42.69% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( -0.39) | 52.82% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.33) | 74.44% ( 0.33) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.07) | 15.63% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.12) | 44.63% ( 0.13) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.6% ( -0.55) | 49.4% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.76% ( -0.39) | 84.24% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 64.82% | 1-1 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.65% | 0-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.52% |
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