SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 20.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
53.79% ( 0.11) | 25.7% ( -0.1) | 20.51% |
| Both teams to score 44.7% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.55% ( 0.36) | 57.45% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.74% ( 0.29) | 78.26% ( -0.28) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.57% ( 0.2) | 21.43% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.55% ( 0.3) | 54.45% ( -0.29) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.89% ( 0.21) | 43.11% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.62% ( 0.18) | 79.38% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Nizhny Novgorod |
| 1-0 @ 14.23% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.03% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.51% |
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