SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 56.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Krasnodar in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Orenburg |
56.37% ( 0.1) | 22.36% ( 0.01) | 21.26% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 55.75% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.68% ( -0.2) | 43.32% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.28% ( -0.2) | 65.72% ( 0.2) |
| FC Krasnodar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( -0.04) | 15.19% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( -0.07) | 43.81% ( 0.07) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.73% ( -0.22) | 34.27% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.03% ( -0.24) | 70.97% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Krasnodar | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 56.37% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 21.26% |
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