SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Orenburg |
40.85% ( -0.01) | 24.22% | 34.92% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% ( 0.01) | 42.23% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.01) | 64.64% ( -0.01) |
| Krylia Sovetov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.18% ( -0) | 20.82% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.51% ( -0.01) | 53.49% ( 0) |
| Orenburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42% ( 0.01) | 58% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Krylia Sovetov | Draw | Orenburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.29% 3-0 @ 3.2% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.8% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.85% | 1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.28% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.22% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.97% Total : 34.92% |
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